Nuestros modelos más inteligentes y capaces hasta la fecha con acceso completo a herramientas
Hoy lanzamos OpenAI o3 y o4-mini, los modelos más recientes de nuestra serie o, entrenados para pensar durante más tiempo antes de responder. Estos son los modelos más inteligentes que hemos lanzado hasta la fecha, lo que representa un cambio radical en las capacidades de ChatGPT para todos, desde usuarios curiosos hasta investigadores avanzados. Por primera vez, nuestros modelos de razonamiento pueden usar y combinar de forma agente todas las herramientas de ChatGPT, incluyendo la búsqueda web, el análisis de archivos subidos y otros datos con Python, el razonamiento profundo sobre entradas visuales e incluso la generación de imágenes. Fundamentalmente, estos modelos están entrenados para razonar sobre cuándo y cómo usar las herramientas para producir respuestas detalladas y bien pensadas en los formatos de salida adecuados, generalmente en menos de un minuto, para resolver problemas más complejos. Esto les permite abordar preguntas multifacéticas con mayor eficacia, un paso hacia un ChatGPT más agente que puede ejecutar tareas de forma independiente. La combinación del poder del razonamiento de vanguardia con acceso completo a las herramientas se traduce en un rendimiento significativamente superior en pruebas académicas y tareas del mundo real, estableciendo un nuevo estándar tanto en inteligencia como en utilidad.
¿Qué ha cambiado?
OpenAI o3 es nuestro modelo de razonamiento más potente, que revoluciona la programación, las matemáticas, la ciencia, la percepción visual y más. Establece un nuevo SOTA en benchmarks como Codeforces, SWE-bench (sin crear un andamiaje específico para el modelo) y MMMU. Es ideal para consultas complejas que requieren un análisis multifacético y cuyas respuestas pueden no ser obvias de inmediato. Se desempeña especialmente bien en tareas visuales como el análisis de imágenes, diagramas y gráficos. En evaluaciones realizadas por expertos externos, o3 comete un 20 % menos de errores importantes que OpenAI o1 en tareas difíciles del mundo real, destacando especialmente en áreas como programación, negocios/consultoría e ideación creativa. Los primeros evaluadores destacaron su rigor analítico como un socio de pensamiento y enfatizaron su capacidad para generar y evaluar críticamente hipótesis novedosas, particularmente en contextos de biología, matemáticas e ingeniería.
OpenAI o4-mini es un modelo más pequeño, optimizado para un razonamiento rápido y rentable. Logra un rendimiento notable para su tamaño y costo, especialmente en matemáticas, programación y tareas visuales . Es el modelo de referencia con mejor rendimiento en AIME 2024 y 2025. Si bien el acceso a una computadora reduce significativamente la dificultad del examen AIME, también destacamos que o4-mini logra un 99.5% de aprobados a 1 (100% de consenso a 8) en AIME 2025 al tener acceso a un intérprete de Python. Si bien estos resultados no deben compararse con el rendimiento de modelos sin acceso a herramientas, son un ejemplo de la eficacia con la que o4-mini aprovecha las herramientas disponibles; o3 muestra mejoras similares en AIME 2025 gracias al uso de herramientas (98.4% de aprobados a 1, 100% de consenso a 8).
En evaluaciones de expertos, o4-mini también supera a su predecesor, o3-mini, en tareas no STEM, así como en dominios como la ciencia de datos. Gracias a su eficiencia, o4-mini admite límites de uso significativamente mayores que o3, lo que lo convierte en una opción sólida para preguntas de alto volumen y alto rendimiento que se benefician del razonamiento. Evaluadores expertos externos calificaron ambos modelos por demostrar un mejor seguimiento de instrucciones y respuestas más útiles y verificables que sus predecesores, gracias a una inteligencia mejorada y a la inclusión de fuentes web. En comparación con versiones anteriores de nuestros modelos de razonamiento, estos dos modelos también deberían resultar más naturales y conversacionales, especialmente porque hacen referencia a la memoria y a conversaciones pasadas para que las respuestas sean más personalizadas y relevantes.o1o3-minio3 (no tools)o4-mini (no tools)Accuracy (%)74.387.391.693.4AIME 2024Competition Matho1o3-minio3 (no tools)o4-mini (no tools)Accuracy (%)79.286.588.992.7AIME 2025Competition Matho1o3-minio3 (with terminal)o4-mini (with terminal)ELO1891207327062719CodeforcesCompetition Codeo1o3-minio3 (no tools)o4-mini (no tools)Accuracy (%)78.077.083.381.4GPQA DiamondPhD-Level Science Questionso1-proo3-minio3 (no tools)o3 (python + browsing** tools)o4-mini (no tools)o4-mini (with python + browsin…Deep researchAccuracy (%)8.1213.4020.3224.9014.2817.7026.60Humanity’s Last ExamExpert-Level Questions Across Subjects
Multimodal
o1o3o4-miniAccuracy (%)77.682.981.6MMMUCollege-level visual problem-solvingo1o3o4-miniAccuracy (%)71.886.884.3MathVistaVisual Math Reasoningo1o3o4-miniAccuracy (%)55.178.672.0CharXiv-ReasoningScientific Figure Reasoning
Codificación
o1-higho3-mini-higho3-higho4-mini-high$0$59,000$118,000$177,000$236,000Dollars earned$28,500$17,375$65,250$56,375SWE-Lancer: IC SWE DiamondFreelance Coding Taskso1o3-minio3o4-miniAccuracy (%)48.949.369.168.1SWE-Bench VerifiedSoftware Engineeringo1-higho3-mini-higho3-higho4-mini-highAccuracy (%)64.4%(whole)61.7%(diff)66.7%(whole)60.4%(diff)81.3%(whole)79.6%(diff)68.9%(whole)58.2%(diff)Aider PolyglotCode Editing
Seguimiento de instrucciones y uso de herramientas de forma agente
o1o3-minio3o4-miniAccuracy (%)44.9339.8956.5142.99Scale MultiChallengeMulti-turn instruction following4o + browsingo3 with python + browsing*o4-mini with python + browsin…Deep researchAccuracy (%)1.949.728.351.5BrowseCompAgentic Browsingo1-higho3-mini-higho3-higho4-mini-highAccuracy (%)50.0%(Airline)70.8%(Retail)32.4%(Airline)57.6%(Retail)52.0%(Airline)70.4%(Retail)49.2%(Airline)65.6%(Retail)Tau-benchFunction Calling
Todos los modelos se evalúan con configuraciones de «esfuerzo de razonamiento» elevado, similares a variantes como «o4-mini-high» en ChatGPT.
Continuamos ampliando el aprendizaje de refuerzo
Durante el desarrollo de OpenAI o3, hemos observado que el aprendizaje por refuerzo a gran escala exhibe la misma tendencia de «mayor cómputo = mejor rendimiento » observada en el preentrenamiento de la serie GPT. Al repasar la trayectoria de escalado, esta vez en aprendizaje por refuerzo (RL), hemos impulsado un orden de magnitud adicional tanto el cómputo de entrenamiento como el razonamiento en tiempo de inferencia, y aun así observamos claras mejoras de rendimiento, lo que confirma que el rendimiento de los modelos continúa mejorando cuanto más se les permite pensar. Con la misma latencia y coste que OpenAI o1, o3 ofrece un mayor rendimiento en ChatGPT, y hemos confirmado que, si le permitimos pensar durante más tiempo, su rendimiento sigue aumentando.
También entrenamos a ambos modelos para usar herramientas mediante aprendizaje por refuerzo , enseñándoles no solo cómo usarlas, sino también a razonar sobre cuándo usarlas. Su capacidad para implementar herramientas según los resultados deseados los hace más competentes en situaciones abiertas, especialmente aquellas que implican razonamiento visual y flujos de trabajo de varios pasos. Esta mejora se refleja tanto en los puntos de referencia académicos como en las tareas del mundo real, según informaron los primeros evaluadores.
Pensar con imágenes

Por primera vez, estos modelos pueden integrar imágenes directamente en su cadena de pensamiento. No solo ven una imagen, sino que piensan con ella. Esto abre un nuevo tipo de resolución de problemas que combina el razonamiento visual y textual, lo que se refleja en su rendimiento de vanguardia en pruebas multimodales.
Se puede subir una foto de una pizarra, un diagrama de un libro de texto o un boceto hecho a mano, y el modelo puede interpretarlo, incluso si la imagen está borrosa, invertida o es de baja calidad. Con el uso de herramientas, los modelos pueden manipular imágenes sobre la marcha: rotarlas, ampliarlas o transformarlas como parte de su razonamiento.
Estos modelos ofrecen la mejor precisión en tareas de percepción visual, lo que les permite resolver preguntas que antes eran inalcanzables. Para más información, consulta el blog de investigación sobre razonamiento visual .
Hacia el uso de herramientas agenciales
OpenAI o3 y o4-mini tienen acceso completo a las herramientas de ChatGPT, así como a sus propias herramientas personalizadas mediante llamadas a funciones en la API. Estos modelos están entrenados para razonar sobre cómo resolver problemas, eligiendo cuándo y cómo usar las herramientas para generar respuestas detalladas y bien pensadas en los formatos de salida adecuados con rapidez, generalmente en menos de un minuto.
Por ejemplo, un usuario podría preguntar: «¿Cómo se comparará el consumo de energía en California durante el verano con el del año pasado?». El modelo puede buscar datos de servicios públicos en la web, escribir código Python para generar un pronóstico, generar un gráfico o una imagen y explicar los factores clave de la predicción, encadenando múltiples llamadas a herramientas. El razonamiento permite a los modelos reaccionar y adaptarse según sea necesario a la información que encuentran. Por ejemplo, pueden buscar en la web varias veces con la ayuda de proveedores de búsqueda, consultar los resultados e intentar nuevas búsquedas si necesitan más información.
Este enfoque flexible y estratégico permite que los modelos aborden tareas que requieren acceso a información actualizada más allá del conocimiento integrado del modelo, el razonamiento extendido, la síntesis y la generación de resultados en todas las modalidades.
Todos los ejemplos se completaron con OpenAI o3.Investigación matemáticaNegocioCienciaDeportesrazonamiento visual
OpenAI o3
Solve the following very hard math problem using your in-built knowledge of the literature:
Construct a degree 19 polynomial \ (p(x)) \ in \ mathbb{C}[x] such that \ (X := \ {\, p(x) = p(y) \, \} \ subset \ mathbb{P}^{1} \ times \ mathbb{P}^{1}\ ) has at least 3 (but not all linear) irreducible components over \ mathbb{C}. Choose \ (p(x)\ ) to be odd, monic, have real coefficients and linear coefficient \ (-19\ ) and calculate \ (p(19)\ ).Reasoned about polynomial construction for 55 seconds
- The curve defined by p(x) = p(y) factors if p(x) is decomposable or has repeated factors. Actually, p(x)-p(y) always factors, and it’s divisible by (x-y). This gives one factor, and the rest is a degree d-1 polynomial in x and y. For the curve to have at least three irreducible components, p(x)-p(y) must factor into at least three nontrivial factors. Each factor corresponds to a component in projective space, and at least one must be nonlinear.
- I’m checking the Dickson polynomials D_n(x,a) and focusing on their coefficients. With a=1, it seems the leading coefficient is always 1, confirming that Dickson polynomials are monic. The linear coefficient for odd n is following a predictable sign pattern: for n=19, it gives a coefficient of -19, which is exactly what I need. So the Dickson polynomial D_n(x,1) with odd n fits nicely with the linear coefficient I was looking for.
- I’ve confirmed that the linear coefficient for p(x)=D19(x)p(x) = D_{19}(x)p(x)=D19(x) is correct, with the necessary scaling factor to match. Now for the next step, I need to compute D19(19)D_{19}(19)D19(19). Since Tn(z)T_n(z)Tn(z) grows quickly for real z>1z > 1z>1, I plan to compute this value using Python, leveraging the recurrence to avoid mistakes—it’s going to be a big number. I’ll make sure to present the numeric result neatly so it’s understandable since the coefficients are integers.
- The Dickson polynomial D_{19}(x,1) is confirmed to have the required properties: monic, odd, real coefficients, and a linear coefficient of -19. The factorization of D_{19}(x) into irreducible components is also verified and satisfies the condition of having at least 10 components (1 linear + 9 quadratics). To compute p(19), we’ll use the recurrence relation for Dickson polynomials, but there’s also a closed-form expression involving cosine that could be handy here. I’ll proceed accordingly!
- I confirmed the linear coefficient is working correctly, which means now I need to calculate p(19)=D19(19)p(19) = D_{19}(19)p(19)=D19(19). This involves evaluating T19(9.5)T_{19}(9.5)T19(9.5), which grows rapidly. To ensure I get an accurate result, I’ll compute this using recurrence in Python. The result is a large number: 1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179. I’ll use the commas to make it easier to read: p(19)=1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179p(19) = 1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179p(19)=1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179.
- For a = 1, there’s a relationship between Dickson polynomials and Chebyshev polynomials: D_n(x, 1) = 2^(n-1) T_n(x/2). Checking this, we see that the definition of D_n(u + 1/u) aligns well with Chebyshev’s formula. By setting x = 2 cos(θ), we find that D_n(x) equals 2 T_n(x/2). Importantly, the leading coefficient works out to 1, confirming the identity holds. This is nice!
- Now, I need to verify that p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) factors as desired, relying on the known Dickson polynomial factorization. According to the literature (like Fried and Jarden), the difference Dn(x)−Dn(y)D_n(x) – D_n(y)Dn(x)−Dn(y) factors into a product involving (x−y)(x – y)(x−y) and other expressions. I’ll provide the explicit polynomial D19(x,1)D_{19}(x, 1)D19(x,1), list the coefficients, and explain how it satisfies the desired properties: monic, odd, etc. Lastly, I’ll compute p(19)p(19)p(19).
Analyzed
Python
1
from math import comb, cos, acos
2
# Let's compute Dickson D_n(x,a=1) recursively
3
defdickson(n,x,a=1):
4
if n==0:
5
return2
6
if n==1:
7
return x
8
Dm2=2
9
Dm1=x
10
for k inrange(2,n+1):
11
D= x*Dm1 - a*Dm2
12
Dm2, Dm1 = Dm1, D
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return Dm1
14
15
d19 = dickson(19,19,1)
16
d19
1876572071974094803391179
Analyzed
Python
1
d19
1876572071974094803391179
Analyzed
Python
1
import locale, sys, math, json, textwrap, re, decimal
Analyzed
Python
1
"{:,}".format(d19)
‘1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179’
Analyzed
Python
1
# compute coefficients of Dickson polynomial D_n(x,1) via recurrence polynomial representation
2
from sympy import symbols, Poly
3
4
x = symbols('x')
5
defdickson_poly(n):
Poly(x**19 – 19*x**17 + 152*x**15 – 665*x**13 + 1729*x**11 – 2717*x**9 + 2508*x**7 – 1254*x**5 + 285*x**3 – 19*x, x,
Analyzed
Python
1
poly19.as_expr()
x**19 – 19*x**17 + 152*x**15 – 665*x**13 + 1729*x**11 – 2717*x**9 + 2508*x**7 – 1254*x**5 + 285*x**3 – 19*x
Done
A convenient way to force many factors in
p(x) − p(y)p(x)−p(y) is to use a Dickson polynomial of the first kind.
For a parameter a∈Ca∈C in math these are defined by
D0 (x, a)=2, D1 (x, a)=x, Dn (x, a)=x Dn−1 (x, a)−a Dn−2 (x, a)(n≥2),D0(x,a)=2,D1(x,a)=x,Dn(x,a)=xDn−1(x,a)−aDn−2(x,a)(n≥2),
and satisfy the functional identity
Dn (u+au, a)=un+anun.Dn(u+ua,a)=un+unan.
1. Choosing the polynomial
Take a=1a=1 and n=19n=19.
Because nn is odd, D19 (x, 1)D19(x,1) is an odd polynomial; the recurrence immediately shows it is monic and has integer (hence real) coefficients.
The coefficient of xx is x=(−1)n−12 n=−19,x=(−1)2n−1n=−19, so all requested normalisations are satisfied.
Writing it out gives
p(x)=D19 (x,1)=x19−19×17+152×15−665×13+1729×11−2717×9+2508×7−1254×5+285×3−19x .p(x)=D19(x,1)=x19−19x17+152x15−665x13+1729x11−2717x9+2508x7−1254x5+285x3−19x.
2. Irreducible components of fX = { p(x)=p(y) }fX={p(x)=p(y)}
For Dickson polynomials one has the classical factorisation
Dn (x,1) − Dn (y,1) = (x−y) ∏j=1n−12(x2+y2−2cos (2πjn) xy−4sin2 (πjn)),Dn(x,1)−Dn(y,1)=(x−y)∏j=12n−1(x2+y2−2cos(n2πj)xy−4sin2(nπj)),
where each quadratic factor is irreducible over CC (see, e.g., Lidl–Niederreiter, Finite Fields, §3.6).
For n=19n=19 this gives
- one linear component x=y;x=y;
- nine quadratic components (corresponding to (j=1, …, 9).(j=1,…,9).
Hence X⊂P1×P1X⊂P1×P1 has 1010 irreducible components, at least three of them and not all linear, as required.
3. Evaluating p(19)p(19)
Using the recurrence (or the identity Dn (x, 1) = 2 Tn (x2)Dn(x,1)=2Tn(2x) with Chebyshev TnTn one obtains
p(19) = D19 (19, 1) = 1 876 572 071 974 094 803 391 179.p(19)=D19(19,1)=1876572071974094803391179.
Thus the polynomial above fulfils every condition, and
p(19) = 1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179.p(19)=1,876,572,071,974,094,803,391,179.
OpenAI o1
Solve the following very hard math problem using your in-built knowledge of the literature:
Construct a degree 19 polynomial \ (p(x)) \ in \ mathbb{C}[x] such that \ (X := \ {\, p(x) = p(y) \, \} \ subset \ mathbb{P}^{1} \ times \ mathbb{P}^{1}\ ) has at least 3 (but not all linear) irreducible components over \ mathbb{C}. Choose \ (p(x)\ ) to be odd, monic, have real coefficients and linear coefficient \ (-19\ ) and calculate \ (p(19)\ ).Thought for 1m 19s
I’m piecing together a degree 19 polynomial with only odd powers and a linear coefficient of -19, like: p(x)=x19+a17x17+…+a1xp(x) = x^{19} + a_{17}x^{17} + \ldots + a_1xp(x)=x19+a17x17+…+a1x.
I’m examining if the polynomial p(x)=x19+a17x17+…+a3x3−19xp(x) = x^{19} + a_{17}x^{17} + \ldots + a_3x^3 – 19xp(x)=x19+a17x17+…+a3x3−19x has a notable classical form, considering symmetry or factorization for multiple irreducible components.
To ensure p(x)p(x)p(x) has three or more irreducible components, I’m considering the factorization of p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) into at least three irreducible factors in C[x,y]\mathbb{C}[x,y]C[x,y].
I’m working through x19−y19x^{19} – y^{19}x19−y19 to ensure it balances linear and nonlinear factors, aiming for a polynomial with at least three irreducible components that aren’t all linear.
Taking a closer look at how p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) can be factored into three distinct polynomials in xxx, aiming to achieve the desired irreducible components.
I’m thinking about how composing ppp with simpler polynomials, like xm−cx^m – cxm−c, could result in multiple irreducible components, achieving at least three distinct factors.
I’m exploring the factorization of p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) with cyclotomic polynomials. This method generates nnn linear irreducible factors, which might not achieve the required three distinct components.
I’m focusing on constructing an «odd» and monic polynomial, ensuring all exponents are odd and the leading term is x19x^{19}x19. This approach aims to achieve the desired factorization.
I’m working with the Chebyshev polynomials to ensure p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) has at least three irreducible components, leveraging their even or odd properties to manage coefficients.
Considering the odd Chebyshev polynomial T19(x)T_{19}(x)T19(x) for potential factorization, while also examining composite polynomials of lower degrees to enhance factorization properties.
I’m analyzing how a polynomial composed of lower-degree polynomials, like (x3−3x)k(x^3 – 3x)^k(x3−3x)k, could yield p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) with at least three irreducible components.
Piecing together polynomials with integer coefficients, like (x3−3x)k(x^3 – 3x)^k(x3−3x)k, to achieve factorization in p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) with at least three irreducible components, aiming for degree 19.
I’m examining how p(x)=(x3−3x)kp(x) = (x^3 – 3x)^kp(x)=(x3−3x)k or p(x)=x19−19xp(x) = x^19 – 19xp(x)=x19−19x might yield p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) with three irreducible components, focusing on ensuring the polynomial is of degree 19.
I’m analyzing p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) into (x−y)(x18+x17y+…+y18−19)(x-y)(x^{18} + x^{17}y + \ldots + y^{18} – 19)(x−y)(x18+x17y+…+y18−19) to identify irreducible components. The polynomial factor x18+x17y+…+y18−19x^{18} + x^{17}y + \ldots + y^{18} – 19×18+x17y+…+y18−19 remains challenging to factor further.
I’m thinking through a new approach: adjusting the Chebyshev polynomial T19(x)T_{19}(x)T19(x) to make it monic, aiming to achieve at least three irreducible components in p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y).
OK, let’s think through. I’m tweaking T19(x)T_{19}(x)T19(x)’s coefficients to keep the polynomial monic and check if it simplifies into multiple irreducible components.
I’m thinking over various factorization strategies for a monic polynomial of degree 19. The goal is to ensure at least one non-linear factor and achieve at least three irreducible components in p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y).
I’m updating my approach to factor x2+xy+y2−1x^2 + xy + y^2 – 1×2+xy+y2−1 over complex numbers by exploring change of variables and third roots of unity. This helps in achieving the desired polynomial structure.
I’m combining x3−xx^3 – xx3−x with x19−19xx^{19} – 19xx19−19x to tweak the polynomial’s coefficients and complexity, aiming to include more non-linear factors for the desired irreducibility.
Piecing together p(x)=x19−x3−19xp(x) = x^{19} – x^3 – 19xp(x)=x19−x3−19x to ensure it’s odd, monic, and has the required linear coefficient. This targets the desired irreducible factorizations.
I’m mapping out the second factor x18+…+y18−x2−xy−y2−19x^{18} + \ldots + y^{18} – x^2 – xy – y^2 – 19×18+…+y18−x2−xy−y2−19 to see if it can split into three irreducible components.
I’m considering methods to factorize the polynomial by making it divisible by x−yx – yx−y and ensuring the remaining factor splits into exactly two irreducible components, aiming for a less complex factorization.
I’m examining the polynomial x18+x17y+…+y18x^{18} + x^{17}y + \ldots + y^{18}x18+x17y+…+y18 and noting it simplifies to x19−y19x−y\frac{x^{19} – y^{19}}{x – y}x−yx19−y19, which might reveal further irreducible factors.
I’m mapping out the polynomial x(x18−1)−y(y18−1)x−y\frac{x(x^{18}-1) – y(y^{18}-1)}{x-y}x−yx(x18−1)−y(y18−1) for further factorization. This might yield just two irreducible components, which falls short of three.
I’m exploring whether the polynomial p(x)=x19−(x3)p(x) = x^19 – (x^3)p(x)=x19−(x3) can be expressed as the composition of a smaller polynomial with xkx^kxk, potentially revealing multiple irreducible components.
I’m examining if the polynomial T19(x)T_{19}(x)T19(x) can be factored using trigonometric identities, seeking partial factorization without fully linearizing, to gain multiple irreducible components.
OK, let me see. Trigonometric identities show multiple solutions for θ\thetaθ and ϕ\phiϕ, likely leading to 19 or 38 linear factors for T19(x)T_{19}(x)T19(x).
I’m examining how the equation arccosx=±arccosy+2kπ19\arccos x = \pm \arccos y + \frac{2k\pi}{19}arccosx=±arccosy+192kπ leads to possible multiple branches, potentially irreducible in the algebraic sense, and needing an example with at least three non-linear irreducible components.
OK, let me see. I’m pulling together details on the polynomial x3(x2−1)8+xx^3 (x^2 – 1)^8 + xx3(x2−1)8+x. It’s monic, with x19x^{19}x19 as the leading term, ensuring it meets key criteria.
I’m noting that the polynomial p(x)=x3(x2−1)8+xp(x) = x^3 (x^2 – 1)^8 + xp(x)=x3(x2−1)8+x is odd, with its linear coefficient patterning to -19.
I’m figuring out how to adjust the linear coefficient of polynomial p(x)p(x)p(x) to -19 by adding a constant factor ccc in front of xxx to ensure it’s adequately modified.
By tweaking the linear coefficient of p(x)=x3(x2−1)8+cxp(x) = x^3 (x^2 – 1)^8 + c xp(x)=x3(x2−1)8+cx to -19, it ensures the polynomial remains monic, odd, and real.
I’m working on adding a constant factor ccc to xxx in p(x)=x3(x2−1)8+cxp(x) = x^3 (x^2 – 1)^8 + c xp(x)=x3(x2−1)8+cx to ensure the linear coefficient is -19, making the polynomial monic, odd, and real.
I’m piecing together the polynomial p(x)=x3(x−1)8(x+1)8p(x) = x^3 (x-1)^8 (x+1)^8p(x)=x3(x−1)8(x+1)8 and considering how p(x)−p(y)p(x) – p(y)p(x)−p(y) might factor with factors like x−yx-yx−y.
I’m confirming p(x)p(x)p(x) is monic, odd, and real, with a linear coefficient of -19, by expanding x3(x2−1)8x^3 (x^2 -1)^8×3(x2−1)8 to set the constant ccc.
I found that for p(x) to have a coefficient of -19 for the x term, c must be -19. The polynomial, p(x), incorporates this constant and preserves the original polynomial’s structure.
Below is one concrete example (over the reals) of an odd, monic, degree 19 polynomial with linear coefficient −19−19 whose zero-locus relation { p(x)=p(y) } in P1×P1{p(x)=p(y)} in P1×P1 splits into at least three irreducible components (and not all components are linear). We then compute p(19)p(19).
1. The polynomial
Consider
p(x) = x3 (x2−1)8 − 19x.p(x)=x3(x2−1)8−19x.
We can expand
x3 (x2−1)8 = x19 − 8×17 + 28×15 − 56×13 + 70×11 − 56×9 + 28×7 − 8×5 + x3.x3(x2−1)8=x19−8x17+28x15−56x13+70x11−56x9+28x7−8x5+x3.
Hence
p(x) = x19 − 8×17 + 28×15 − 56×13 + 70×11 − 56×9 + 28×7 − 8×5 + x3 − 19x.p(x)=x19−8x17+28x15−56x13+70x11−56x9+28x7−8x5+x3−19x.
Checking the required properties
Degree 19, monic:
The leading term is x19x19with coefficient 11.
Odd polynomial:
All exponents are odd (19, 17, …, 3, 1),(19,17,…,3,1), and the constant term is 00. Indeed,
p(−x) = − p(x),p(−x)=−p(x),
which makes pp an odd polynomial.
Real coefficients:
All coefficients are real integers.
Linear coefficient −19−19:
The coefficient of xx is clearly −19−19.
At least three irreducible components, not all linear:
Over CC, the locus
X = { (x,y):p(x)=p(y) } ⊂ P1×P1X={(x,y):p(x)=p(y)}⊂P1×P1
factors in part because p(x)p(x) has (for instance) the repeated factors (x2−1)8(x2−1)8 in the big piece x3 (x2−1)8x3(x2−1)8. One sees that { p(x)=p(y) }{p(x)=p(y)} contains (at least) the divisor $${x=y\}$$ plus further factors coming from the roots x=0 or x=±1,x=0orx=±1, ensuring multiple irreducible components (and not all of them are hyperplanes).
2. Computing p(19)p(19)
A direct substitution x=19x=19 gives a large integer. Symbolic expansion or a computer algebra system yields
p(19) = 1934999285524070399999639.p(19)=1934999285524070399999639.
Hence the required value is
\boxed{\,p(19) \;=\; 1934999285524070399999639\,}. \] ​:contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}​
OpenAI o3 gets the response correctly without using search, whereas o1 fails to deliver a correct response.
OpenAI o3
I own a boutique hotel chain with locations in Lisbon, Berlin, and London. I plan to expand into a new country in Europe, and a city in Asia, in 2026. What factors—such as tourism growth, seasonal occupancy patterns, and local economic indicators—best predict success? I want to be ahead of the curve and be in the next hot city before others. Pull regional travel data, economic statistics, and hotel occupancy rates; analyze trends visually and recommend ideal expansion locations.Reasoned about hotel expansion strategy for 1m 11s
22 searches · 58 sources
- We need to analyze tourism trends, economic data, and hotel occupancy rates for recommended cities. The focus is on expansion into a new European country and a city in Asia, with updated data and visualizations (via charts). To start, I’ll consider European cities like Athens, Valencia, or Prague—thinking about new markets, especially given the user already operates in Lisbon. Next, I’ll gather relevant data for these cities and potentially an Asian location too, comparing factors like growth rates and occupancy trends to make the best recommendation.
Searched the web
2023 hotel occupancy rate Budapest STR report
2023 hotel occupancy rate Athens STR
News
STR
GTP Headlines
4 more
- For the Asian location, I’m thinking about cities like Da Nang, Osaka, Chiang Mai, Penang, or Seoul. I’ll need to choose one based on key factors. I’ll gather data like occupancy rates and tourism arrivals from reliable sources, such as Eurostat, UNWTO, or STR Global. I’ll also need to generate charts to visualize these trends. I can simulate numbers for now, but I’ll make sure to provide accurate figures, so I’ll check current data by browsing for source-specific statistics.
Searched the web
2024 hotel occupancy rate Zagreb 2024 STR
2024 hotel occupancy rate Valencia 2024
Cushman & Wakefield
Focus on Travel News
Travel and Tour World
7 more
Searched the web
nights spent tourist accommodation europe 2024 by region eurostat
European Commission
Reuters
- For the Asian locations, I’ll need to gather occupancy data for Osaka, Da Nang, Ho Chi Minh City, and Bangkok. These cities seem like key candidates to explore further. I’ll gather the relevant statistics and see how they compare in terms of tourism and hotel performance. Once I have the numbers, I can pull everything together clearly for analysis.
Searched the web
2024 hotel occupancy Tokyo 80% STR
2024 hotel occupancy Osaka STR 2024 average occupancy
2 more
- I need to focus on one European city for expansion. Athens, Valencia, Warsaw, Budapest, Krakow, Dubrovnik, and Malaga are options, but let’s narrow it down to Athens or Valencia. Since the user wants a new country in Europe, Spain and Greece are strong contenders. Valencia has an 80-90% occupancy rate and solid economic indicators, while Athens shows strong growth in occupancy and RevPAR. In Asia, Osaka, Bangkok, and Da Nang are possibilities, but Osaka is seeing a tourism surge with about 76% occupancy.
- For Asia, Bangkok has a 74% occupancy rate for H1 2024 with 35.5 million international arrivals, but Da Nang has strong growth, even though occupancy is at 60-65%. Osaka could be a good choice—it’s less saturated than Tokyo and offers lower land costs. Fukuoka is another possibility, but Osaka has solid data trends. To analyze this properly, we’ll include Athens, Valencia, Budapest, Osaka, Bangkok, and Da Nang in a chart. The visualization will compare occupancy, RevPAR growth, and tourism arrivals.
- We have some estimated values for occupancy: Athens at 78%, Valencia at 85%, Budapest at 73%, Osaka at 74%, Bangkok at 74%, and Da Nang at 62%. Athens has a RevPAR growth of +11%, and Valencia is at +11.5%. Osaka should have high ADR, but we don’t have its RevPAR value—I’ll focus on occupancy >76 and rate growth. For tourism arrivals, I estimated Athens’ airport growth at 14% YoY, but I should confirm exact details for Athens tourism arrivals in 2024.
Searched the web
Athens International Airport passenger growth 2024 vs 2023
Valencia airport passenger growth 2024 record
Osaka Kansai inbound tourism 2024 growth
AIA Media
javeamigos.com
News on Japan
7 more
- We’ve got some useful airport passenger growth data now. To simplify, I’ll summarize the seasonal occupancy and other variables textually. I’ll include key factors like GDP growth and unemployment for each city in a structured bullet-point format. For charts, I’m thinking of two bar charts: one for 2024 occupancy rate and one for tourism arrivals growth. I’ll also add a scatter chart for occupancy vs. passenger growth. I’ll estimate values with disclaimers and provide citations for the numbers used.
Searched the web
Osaka RevPAR growth 2024 hotel market
Colliers
STR
HVS
4 more
- I’ve confirmed occupancy numbers for Osaka (79%) and Bangkok (74%) while Da Nang’s occupancy for luxury hotels is around 60-65%, so it might not be ideal. Osaka stands out, especially with the upcoming Expo 2025. For each city, I’ll include occupancy, RevPAR growth, and passenger growth figures. I’ll also consider aspects like currency exchange and infrastructure. I’d better search for Budapest’s airport traffic growth so we can finalize our recommendations based on the most accurate data.
Searched the web
Budapest airport passenger traffic 2024 growth
DailyNewsHungary
BudAPPest
bud.hu
6 more
Searched the web
Budapest hotel occupancy 2024 average
Horwath HTL
Statista
HVS
5 more
- Okay, Budapest’s occupancy is tricky, but I found an Airbtics source showing 76% for short-term rentals, which may work. Alternatively, I could consider Warsaw, but the occupancy is similar to Budapest’s. For the European candidates, I’ll focus on Athens and Valencia and rank them. I also want to consider Osaka, Bangkok, and maybe Da Nang for Asia. Let me gather the numbers for the selected cities to create a proper table with occupancy, RevPAR, and passenger growth figures.
- We have occupancy and growth approximations for each city—Osaka, Bangkok, Da Nang, and Athens. For Osaka, I’ll use an estimated 18% growth in international visitors, though we don’t have exact data. Bangkok’s occupancy is 74%, with visitor growth up by about 25%. Da Nang’s visitor growth is unclear, but we can estimate it at 12%. I’ll focus on Athens, Valencia, Osaka, and Bangkok for reliability. Now, I’ll create a DataFrame and visualizations to highlight key metrics more precisely.
Searched the web
Thailand international tourist arrivals 2024 35.5 million compared to 2023
TAT Newsroom
CBRE Commercial Real Estate Services
Your Guide To Thailand!
6 more
- For Athens, we’ll use an occupancy of 78% with 11.4% RevPAR growth and 13.1% passenger growth. Valencia will be at 73% occupancy (consistent with March 2025 data), 11.5% RevPAR growth, and 8.7% passenger growth. Osaka’s occupancy will be 79% with 8% RevPAR growth and an estimated 18% YOY visitor growth. Bangkok has 74% occupancy, a 6.6% RevPAR increase, and 26% passenger growth. I’ll provide disclaimers about these estimates and build the DataFrame for comparison.
Analyzed
Python
1
# Executing python code to import libraries
Done


How we picked the short‑list
To find the most “future‑proof” expansion targets we looked at three leading indicators that consistently predict hotel performance two‑to‑three years out:
Signal | Why it matters | Data we used (2024) |
Average hotel occupancy | Captures real, in‑market demand after short‑term‑rental leakage and seasonality | STR, national hotel‑association and market‑consultancy releases |
RevPAR growth YoY | Shows pricing power and room‑rate headroom; > 8 % is a strong sign of tightening supply | STR, Cushman & Wakefield, Colliers |
Air‑passenger growth | A forward indicator of both leisure and MICE demand; airports expand only when airlines commit | Airport authority stats & ACI Europe/Asia reports |
(Raw numbers and sources per city are cited inline below; two quick visual snapshots generated above for occupancies and the occupancy ▸ passenger‑growth relationship.)
European candidates
Athens, GR | Valencia, ES | Budapest, HU | |
2024 avg. hotel occupancy | 78 % | 73 % | 76 % |
RevPAR growth (YoY) | +11.4 % | +11.5 % | +14 % |
Air‑passenger growth (YoY) | +13.1 % | +8.7 % | +19 % |
Why it’s hot next | Year‑round demand, coastal mega‑project (Ellinikon), still‑limited new‑hotel pipeline | Mediterranean lifestyle pivoting to tech/events; cruise‑to‑stay conversion lifting ADR | Expo‑style public spend, St Regis ’25, huge low‑cost‑carrier network driving demand |
Key risks | Land‑price surge in historic core; ADR volatility if short‑lets regulated | Heavy summer seasonality; looming water‑usage levies | Forint swings; big 2025–26 room deliveries could soften rates |
European pick
Athens edges out on balanced year‑round demand and double‑digit air‑passenger growth with still‑manageable land costs outside the historic triangle. Secure plots near the upcoming Ellinikon coastal park for differentiation.
Valencia is an excellent plan‑B if you prefer Spain’s regulatory/political stability.
Asian candidates
Osaka, Japan | Bangkok, Thailand | |
2024 avg. hotel occupancy | 79 % (H1; highest in APAC after Tokyo) | 74 % (H1, +4.8 pp YoY) |
RevPAR growth (YoY) | +8 % YoY; ADR USD 121 (+12 %) | +6.6 % YoY (nation‑wide; Phuket/BKK up) |
Air‑passenger growth (YoY) | ~18 % (14.6 m int’l visitors, record) | +26 % (35.5 m visitors, regional #1) |
Why it’s hot next | Expo 2025 & integrated resort drive >25 m incremental visitors; weak yen = bargain for western tourists; limited green‑field plots within loop = boutique premium | Visa‑free China/India boosts arrivals, 5‑year airport expansion plan; mass‑market drives high occupancy, but boutique segment still niche around Charoenkrung & Ari |
Key risks | High construction costs, tight labor; Expo bubble may cool 2027‑28 | Heavy new‑build pipeline (22 k rooms 2024‑27); political swings & Baht strength could hit margins |
Asian pick
Osaka wins on mega‑event upside, currency tailwinds, and still‑undersupplied high‑design boutique stock (most inventory is branded mid‑scale). Target mid‑rise heritage conversions in Nakanoshima & Kitahama before land prices spike pre‑Expo.
Bangkok remains a strong “fast‑follower” option if you want sheer volume and lower entry costs.
Key take‑aways & next steps
1. Athens + Osaka give you complementary seasonality (Mediterranean shoulder‑season fills vs. Japan’s cherry‑blossom & Expo peaks) and diversified currency exposure (EUR / JPY).
2. Both markets show >75 % occupancy and double‑digit demand growth—rare in a post‑recovery cycle.
3. Move quickly: scout 50‑80‑room heritage assets within Q3 2025; aim to open mid‑2026 to catch the Expo and Athens’ growing winter city‑break market.
4. Lock in long‑term fixed‑rate financing now; rising ADRs plus currency spreads improve real returns.
5. Build pre‑opening buzz via collabs with local cultural institutions (e.g., Osaka’s National Museum of Art; Athens’ SNFCC) to stand out from branded chains.
(Charts above: 2024 occupancy comparison and the occupancy ▸ passenger‑growth scatter—all underlying figures and sources listed in the tables.)
OpenAI o1
I own a boutique hotel chain with locations in Lisbon, Berlin, and London. I plan to expand into a new country in Europe, and a city in Asia, in 2026. What factors—such as tourism growth, seasonal occupancy patterns, and local economic indicators—best predict success? I want to be ahead of the curve and be in the next hot city before others. Pull regional travel data, economic statistics, and hotel occupancy rates; analyze trends visually and recommend ideal expansion locations.Reasoned about hotel expansion factors for 13 seconds
Assessing hotel expansion
Piecing together simulated data for city tourism and economic growth. Using Python and matplotlib, I’ll rank these cities by potential expansion benefits. This approach helps envision future trends and makes a well-informed choice.
I’m creating bar and line charts using matplotlib to track tourism and occupancy trends in hypothetical cities across Asia and Europe. This approach highlights growth patterns clearly and effectively.
I’m crafting a detailed analysis to pinpoint the best cities for hotel expansion. Using Python, I’ll prioritize ones with the greatest projected tourism and occupancy growth.
Below is a sample data-driven approach to selecting new boutique hotel sites in Europe and Asia, based on factors like tourism growth, seasonal occupancy, and local economic indicators. Because we cannot access live data in this environment, the numbers below are fictional. However, the method for collecting, analyzing, and visually reviewing these data can be replicated with actual statistics from tourism boards, governmental economic data, and hotel industry reports (e.g., STR Global, CBRE, etc.).
1. Relevant Factors for Boutique Hotel Expansion
Tourism Growth & Demographics
- Year-over-year (YoY) increase in inbound travelers.
- Growth in specific travel segments: leisure vs. business vs. “bleisure.”
- Demographics of travelers, especially for lifestyle-focused or design-oriented hotels.
Seasonal Occupancy Trends
- High vs. shoulder vs. off-season trends.
- Rate of occupancy fluctuations (i.e., is it consistent year-round or extremely seasonal?).
Local Economic Indicators
- GDP growth forecasts (3-5 years).
- Levels of private investment and new developments.
- Stability of local government, taxation, or real estate regulations impacting tourism/hospitality.
Competition / Market Saturation
- Existing boutique hotels: supply vs. demand.
- Average daily rate (ADR) or RevPAR (Revenue per available room) trends.
Infrastructure & Accessibility
- Availability of international flights, airport capacity, rail connectivity.
- Local attractions, business hubs, events, and conferences that draw travelers.
2. Sample Data and Analysis
Below, we create fictional data sets for five European and five Asian cities as an illustration. Suppose we’ve gathered:
- Tourism Growth (YoY %) from 2022 to 2023 (proxy for short-term trajectory),
- Projected GDP Growth (3-year avg.) as a measure of medium-term economic health,
- Average Occupancy Rate (%) for hotels (2023),
- Average Daily Rate (ADR) in USD as a proxy for market yield potential.
We then visualize these data in separate charts. Use a similar approach with real numbers from reputable data sources when finalizing an expansion decision.
2.1. Sample European Cities Data
Let’s say we consider five up-and-coming European cities:
City | Tourism Growth (YoY %) | Projected GDP Growth (3-yr) | Avg. Occupancy Rate (%) | ADR (USD) |
Amsterdam | 8.0 | 2.2 | 79 | 180 |
Prague | 10.5 | 3.1 | 71 | 120 |
Barcelona | 9.0 | 2.5 | 75 | 160 |
Budapest | 11.0 | 3.5 | 68 | 100 |
Warsaw | 7.5 | 3.8 | 65 | 95 |
2.2. Sample Asian Cities Data
For Asia, consider a short list of growing tourism hubs:
City | Tourism Growth (YoY %) | Projected GDP Growth (3-yr) | Avg. Occupancy Rate (%) | ADR (USD) |
Bangkok | 12.5 | 3.0 | 70 | 90 |
Ho Chi Minh | 14.0 | 4.2 | 68 | 75 |
Tokyo | 5.0 | 1.8 | 83 | 220 |
Kuala Lumpur | 13.0 | 3.5 | 67 | 85 |
Seoul | 6.5 | 2.2 | 80 | 140 |
3. Visualizing the Trends
Below is Python code that simulates creating these data frames, then plotting bar charts for each region. In practice, you would replace the fictional numbers with real data.
Python
1
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
2
import pandas as pd
3
4
# --- 1) Create fictional data for Europe ---
5
european_data = {
6
'City': ['Amsterdam', 'Prague', 'Barcelona', 'Budapest', 'Warsaw'],
7
'Tourism Growth (YoY %)': [8.0, 10.5, 9.0, 11.0, 7.5],
8
'Projected GDP Growth (3-yr)': [2.2, 3.1, 2.5, 3.5, 3.8],
9
'Avg. Occupancy Rate (%)': [79, 71, 75, 68, 65],
10
'ADR (USD)': [180, 120, 160, 100, 95]
11
}
12
df_europe = pd.DataFrame(european_data)
13
14
# --- 2) Create fictional data for Asia ---
15
asia_data = {
16
'City': ['Bangkok', 'Ho Chi Minh', 'Tokyo', 'Kuala Lumpur', 'Seoul'],
17
'Tourism Growth (YoY %)': [12.5, 14.0, 5.0, 13.0, 6.5],
18
'Projected GDP Growth (3-yr)': [3.0, 4.2, 1.8, 3.5, 2.2],
19
'Avg. Occupancy Rate (%)': [70, 68, 83, 67, 80],
20
'ADR (USD)': [90, 75, 220, 85, 140]
21
}
22
df_asia = pd.DataFrame(asia_data)
23
24
# --- 3) Bar Chart: Tourism Growth (Europe) ---
25
plt.bar(df_europe['City'], df_europe['Tourism Growth (YoY %)'])
26
plt.title('Tourism Growth (YoY %) - Europe')
27
plt.xlabel('City')
28
plt.ylabel('Tourism Growth (YoY %)')
29
plt.show()
30
31
# --- 4) Bar Chart: Avg. Occupancy Rate (Europe) ---
32
plt.bar(df_europe['City'], df_europe['Avg. Occupancy Rate (%)'])
33
plt.title('Average Occupancy Rate (%) - Europe')
34
plt.xlabel('City')
35
plt.ylabel('Occupancy Rate (%)')
36
plt.show()
37
38
# --- 5) Bar Chart: Tourism Growth (Asia) ---
39
plt.bar(df_asia['City'], df_asia['Tourism Growth (YoY %)'])
40
plt.title('Tourism Growth (YoY %) - Asia')
41
plt.xlabel('City')
42
plt.ylabel('Tourism Growth (YoY %)')
43
plt.show()
44
45
# --- 6) Bar Chart: Avg. Occupancy Rate (Asia) ---
46
plt.bar(df_asia['City'], df_asia['Avg. Occupancy Rate (%)'])
47
plt.title('Average Occupancy Rate (%) - Asia')
48
plt.xlabel('City')
49
plt.ylabel('Occupancy Rate (%)')
50
plt.show()
51
4. Interpreting the (Sample) Results
- Europe
- Budapest and Prague show strong Tourism Growth and moderate Occupancy Rates. GDP growth projections are also relatively strong. These indicators suggest that the market for boutique hotels might be on the rise, potentially less saturated compared to major hubs like London, Berlin, or even Amsterdam.
- Warsaw shows a good GDP growth rate but a slightly lower current occupancy. This could mean a growing market that’s not fully tapped yet—potentially favorable for an early move.
- Asia
- Ho Chi Minh and Kuala Lumpur show robust Tourism Growth and decent GDP projections. Their ADR (Average Daily Rate) is lower than Tokyo or Seoul, meaning it’s more affordable but with a potentially fast-rising market.
- Tokyo has a high occupancy rate and high ADR—very established but also highly competitive and potentially costly.
- Bangkok remains a strong tourism hub with continued double-digit tourism growth. However, it’s also known for well-established competition.
Based on these (fictional) charts, a boutique hotel chain looking to be ahead of the curve might find:
- Budapest (Europe) offers rising tourism, moderate but improving occupancy, and a relatively affordable market.
- Ho Chi Minh City (Asia) demonstrates a fast-growing economy, strong tourism increases, and still-moderate ADR—indicative of an emerging market.
5. Practical Steps for Real Data Analysis
1. Gather Official Statistics
- Tourism boards, national statistical agencies, hotel associations (e.g., STR Global).
- Data on inbound traveler numbers, hotel performance indexes, and pipeline reports on new hotels.
2. Examine 3-5 Years of Historical and Forecast Data
- Identify upward or downward trends in arrivals, occupancy, and ADR.
- Check local economic forecasts from reputable sources (IMF, World Bank, national banks).
3. Competitive Analysis
- Look at how many new boutique hotels are opening in the next 2-3 years.
- Are major hospitality players entering the same market?
4. On-the-Ground Insights
- Visit the cities if possible, talk to local tourism boards, real estate developers, and potential partners.
- Evaluate property availability, local partnerships, and regulatory details.
5. Develop a Weighted Score
- Assign a weight to each factor (tourism growth, GDP, occupancy, infrastructure, etc.).
- Rank prospective cities, but also consider your brand’s positioning (luxury, design-forward, mid-scale boutique, etc.).
6. Conclusion & Recommendation
- Ideal European Expansion: Cities like Budapest, Prague, or Warsaw may offer excellent growth potential without the saturated competition and high costs of Western European capitals.
- Ideal Asian Expansion: Ho Chi Minh City or Kuala Lumpur could offer strong demand growth, favorable costs, and less-saturated markets compared to Tokyo or Seoul.
The final decision should blend quantitative data (e.g., occupancy rates, market growth, economic forecasts) with qualitative factors such as brand alignment, guest demographics, and the local cultural fit for a boutique experience.
Important Disclaimer
All numeric data provided here is illustrative and fictitious, intended to demonstrate how you might visualize and interpret real-world metrics. For an actual expansion decision, use verified, up-to-date data sources and do more detailed on-the-ground due diligence.
OpenAI o3 cites more industry-relevant sources and offers a more data-driven, thorough, and strategically insightful plan while anticipating real-world challenges and offering proactive mitigations.
OpenAI o3
What impact did recent breakthroughs in battery technology have on electric vehicle range, charging speed, and adoption rates compared to previous generations? Gather relevant scientific studies, industry adoption data, and technical specifications; create visual comparisons, and summarize key scientific advancements.Reasoned for 40 seconds
17 searches · 26 sources
- There are numerous recent breakthroughs in battery technology, such as silicon anodes, solid-state batteries (like those from Toyota and QuantumScape), and advancements in lithium iron phosphate (LFP) tech from companies like CATL and BYD. Additionally, there’s progress with sodium-ion and lithium-metal batteries. These technologies are greatly improving EV ranges — for example, the 2012 Nissan Leaf had a 117 km range compared to the 2024 Tesla Model S LR with over 650 km. I’ll make sure to illustrate these improvements with a chart.
- Charging speeds have drastically increased: early DC fast chargers offered 50 kW, while now we see 250-350 kW chargers, with some 4C cells. For adoption, EV global sales have grown significantly, partly due to improved battery technology. I’ll gather sources like studies on solid-state batteries and CATL’s Shenxing LFP cells. Then, I’ll create charts comparing EV range, charging speeds, and adoption growth from 2012-2023, using sources like the IEA Global EV Outlook and vehicle data for comparison.
Searched the web
IEA Global EV Outlook 2024 electric car sales 2023
CATL Shenxing LFP 4C charging 2023 range 700 km 10 minute charging
7 more
- I’ll summarize EV data, using range milestones, such as the Nissan Leaf’s 73 miles (2011) and Lucid Air’s 516 miles (2024). For charging power, example figures would show CHAdeMO at 50 kW (2011) and CATL’s Shenxing 4C cell at 480 kW (2023). EV adoption has drastically grown too — from 0.1M in 2011 to 40M in 2023, according to IEA data. Three line charts will visualize this. I also need to highlight major breakthroughs in battery technology, including high-silicon anodes and solid-state electrolytes.
- I need to include academic studies like Nature Energy 2023 on lithium-metal solid-state and the Journal of Electrochemical Society 2024 on silicon anode cycling, along with research from UL or Argonne. I’ll structure this content starting with an introductory paragraph, followed by key scientific breakthroughs in bullet points (with citations). I’ll then create charts using Python, interpret them (range, charging speed, and adoption), and summarize how battery improvements lead to quicker adoption. Finally, I’ll conclude. I’ll ensure the tone is structured yet conversational, with concise and detailed sections.
- Next, I’ll generate visual comparisons, including charts showing range increases, charging speed improvements, and adoption trends using Python. The data will highlight how battery improvements directly drive EV adoption. I’ll already have range and adoption data, but I’ll need a bit more info on charging speeds, like CHAdeMO 50 kW from 2011 with the Nissan Leaf. I’ll search for trends in average EPA ranges and charging speed advancements to complete the analysis. I’ll make sure to keep it concise but still detailed!
Searched the web
average EPA rated electric vehicle range year 2011 2024
Inside EVs
US EPA
U.S. Department of Energy
3 more
Searched the web
2011 Nissan Leaf CHAdeMO 50 kW charging speed
Tesla Supercharger V1 120 kW 2013
Electrly
EV Chargers Guide
Taycan Forum
4 more
- I’m looking for more data on average EV range and charging speeds to better illustrate trends. I’ve got sources for range and adoption, but I need a site summarizing the average EPA range over the years. For charging speeds, I should verify with sources like the 2011 CHAdeMO 50 kW rate for the Nissan Leaf and maybe also check the DOE’s data on median EV range for 2011. Once I confirm the details, I’ll move ahead with the visuals and analysis.
Searched the web
median EV range 2011 DOE fact of the week
U.S. Department of Energy
Hydrogen Program
- I’m collecting sources for average EV range and adoption. I have enough data for range trends, including EPA figures and adoption rates. I’ve also found sources for charging speeds, like the CHAdeMO 50 kW rate for the 2011 Nissan Leaf. I’ll shift focus to search for DOE’s median EV range data from 2011 to complete the dataset. With that, I’ll be ready to begin analyzing and presenting the trends. Let’s keep this concise and effective!
- I’ve gathered enough adoption data, including IEA 2024 and OurWorldInData sources. It seems I’m set there. For scientific studies, I’ve got Nature Energy and Sila for solid-state and silicon anodes. I might look into sodium-ion battery research next. So, with solid data on range, charging speed, and adoption, the next step is visual comparisons. I’ll build three charts: featuring trends like the median EV range over time (2011, 2014, 2018, 2024), using DOE data like Fact of Week #1064 and #1375.
Searched the web
CATL sodium-ion battery EV 2023 energy density 160 Wh kg
Ev Specifications
Ars Technica
CATL
4 more
Done






What the data show at a glance
- Range ↑ ~4× (2011 → 2024) – The U.S. median EPA‑rated range climbed from 73 mi in 2011 to 283 mi in 2024. energy
- Fast‑charging power ↑ ~8× – Mainstream EVs moved from 50 kW CHAdeMO on the first‑gen Nissan Leaf to 350 kW 800‑V platforms (e.g., Hyundai Ioniq 5) and 4 C‑capable cells such as CATL’s Shenxing (≈400 kW equivalent).
- Adoption ↑ ~70× – Global sales grew from ≈0.2 M in 2013 to ≈14 M in 2023; one in five new cars sold last year was electric, lifting the global fleet above 40 M.
(Interactive charts and the underlying tables are shown above.)
Key scientific breakthroughs driving the gains
Breakthrough | Core idea | Impact on range / charge | Representative study or demo |
High‑silicon anodes | Replace part of graphite with nano‑engineered Si to ↑ capacity | +20‑40 % energy density; 15‑min 80 % charges demonstrated | Sila “Titan Silicon” anode entering Mercedes EQG pack; REC‑Sila silane deal 2024 |
Solid‑state / lithium‑metal | Solid electrolyte eliminates flammable liquid; enables Li‑metal anode | Lab cells > 500 Wh kg⁻¹, 80 % in < 15 min, 1 000‑km targets | Nature Energy 2023 fast‑cycling study; Toyota 2023 roadmap, QuantumScape 500 000 km test |
4 C‑rated LFP (CATL Shenxing) | Doped LFP + nano‑coatings for rapid Li‑ion diffusion | 400 km in 10 min; 700 km full pack; mass production 2024 | CATL launch Aug 2023 |
4680 / structural cells | Larger tab‑less cylindrical cells + pack integration | ~15 % more Wh L⁻¹; lower thermal resistance improves sustained fast‑charge | Tesla Battery Day; field data 2023 MY Y |
800‑V e‑GMP & PPE platforms | Higher pack voltage cuts current → cooler, faster DCFC | 10‑80 % in 18 min (Hyundai Ioniq 5), 5‑80 % in 22 min (Porsche Taycan) | Ioniq 5 charging deep dive; Taycan forum log |
Sodium‑ion (Na‑ion) | Abundant Na⁺ replaces Li⁺ for cost‑sensitive segments | 160 Wh kg⁻¹ today, 15‑min 80 % charge, better cold‑weather | CATL first‑gen Na‑ion cell 2023catl(opens in a new window) |
How these translate into real‑world improvements
1. Longer trips on a single charge
Median U.S. range now comfortably covers most daily driving for a week, and > 500‑mi halo models (Lucid Air) rival gasoline cars.
2. Quicker pit‑stops
Charging times dropped from ~30 min per 100 mi (2011 Leaf) to < 10 min per 250 mi with 4 C LFP or future solid‑state packs, shrinking the “refuel” gap.
3. Lower cost & wider segment coverage
High‑volume LFP and emerging Na‑ion chemistries cut battery $/kWh and enable sub‑$25 k EVs in China, expanding the addressable market.
4. Adoption flywheel
Better specs + falling prices → consumer confidence → higher sales → economies of scale → further R&D investment—visible in the steep adoption curve.
Take‑aways for stakeholders
- Automakers should lock in multi‑chemistry supply chains (LFP for mass‑market, high‑Si or solid‑state for premium) and design 800 V architectures to remain competitive.
- Policy makers & utilities need to accelerate build‑out of 350 kW+ chargers and grid upgrades to support next‑gen 4 C packs.
- Researchers & investors: silicon‑rich anodes and solid electrolytes remain the biggest levers for another step‑change in energy density; Na‑ion will be pivotal for low‑cost, resource‑constrained markets.
Let me know if you’d like a deeper dive into any chemistry, cost modelling, or regional adoption forecasts!
OpenAI o1
What impact did recent breakthroughs in battery technology have on electric vehicle range, charging speed, and adoption rates compared to previous generations? Gather relevant scientific studies, industry adoption data, and technical specifications; create visual comparisons, and summarize key scientific advancements.Reasoned for 5 seconds
I’m pulling together info on scientific studies, industry data, and tech specs about recent battery tech breakthroughs in electric vehicles. Important topics include high-density lithium-ion, solid-state batteries, and advancements from Tesla and CATL.
I’m summarizing key scientific advancements and creating a visual comparison. This includes highlighting breakthroughs like lithium-ion and solid-state batteries, battery cost declines, and adoption stats from reliable sources such as IEA and BNEF.
Below is an overview of how recent battery technology breakthroughs have affected electric vehicle (EV) range, charging speed, and adoption rates, compared to older-generation EVs. You will find:
1. Key Scientific Advancements in battery chemistry and engineering.
2. Relevant Findings from published studies and industry data.
3. Technical Specifications (energy density, charge cycles, cost per kWh).
4. Adoption Trends supported by statistical data.
5. Visual Comparisons showing evolution in range, charging speed, and adoption over time.
1. Summary of Key Scientific Advancements
Recent battery technologies have focused on improving three main features: energy density, charging speed, and lifecycle durability (i.e., how long a battery retains capacity after many charge/discharge cycles). The most notable breakthroughs include:
Nickel-Rich NMC (Lithium Nickel Manganese Cobalt)
- Example: NMC 811 (ratio 8:1:1 of Nickel, Manganese, Cobalt).
- Higher nickel content → increased energy density → longer driving range per charge.
- Challenge: Stability and safety issues at higher nickel contents; requires advanced thermal management.
Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) Improvements
- Historically favored for high safety and longevity, but lower energy density.
- Advances in cell manufacturing and packing (e.g., cell-to-pack integration) have improved volumetric and gravimetric density, shrinking the gap vs. NMC.
- Widely adopted in higher-volume, lower-cost EVs, especially in Asia, due to cost-effectiveness and robustness.
Silicon-Dominant Anodes
- Replacing or blending graphite with silicon can drastically increase energy density.
- Current challenge: silicon expansion during charge cycles, which can reduce battery lifespan.
- Active area of research with partial commercial adoption in next-gen cells.
Solid-State Batteries (Pre-Commercial Stage)
- Replace liquid electrolyte with a solid electrolyte; eliminates risk of leaks/flammability.
- Potentially higher energy density, faster charging, and improved safety.
- Challenges remain with cost, scale, and solid electrolyte conductivity.
Manufacturing Innovations
- Examples: Tab-less design (Tesla’s 4680 cells), advanced coating processes, and new electrode production methods.
- Aim to reduce internal resistance, enhance cooling, and lower costs.
Many of these breakthroughs have emerged from university lab research (e.g., the Argonne National Laboratory, MIT, and TU Munich), as well as corporate labs (e.g., Panasonic, LG Energy Solution, CATL, Samsung SDI, and Tesla R&D). Peer-reviewed journals such as Nature Energy, Advanced Energy Materials, and Journal of Power Sources frequently publish updates on these developments.
2. Relevant Industry and Research Findings
Study/Report | Focus | Key Finding |
Argonne National Laboratory (2020) | Nickel-rich NMC stability | Improved electrode design (NMC 811) can achieve ~10–20% higher energy density vs. previous gen. |
BloombergNEF (BNEF) Annual Battery Price Survey | Cost-per-kWh trends | Battery costs fell ~85% from 2010–2022 (from $1,200/kWh to ~$150/kWh). |
Journal of Power Sources (2021) | Silicon anode feasibility | Hybrid graphite-silicon anodes can boost energy density by 20–40%. |
IEA Global EV Outlook (2022) | EV adoption rates | EVs accounted for ~9% of global car sales in 2021, a significant jump from ~2.5% in 2019. |
Range and Energy Density
- Average range of mainstream EVs released around 2015: ~120–150 miles (200–240 km).
- Modern EVs with NMC or improved LFP packs (2022–2025): ~250–350 miles (400–560 km) or more.
- High-end models (e.g., some Tesla, Lucid, Mercedes EQS): 400+ miles (640+ km).
Charging Speeds
- 2015-era DC fast chargers: ~50 kW typical → ~80% charge in ~40–60 minutes.
- 2022+ fast chargers: 150 kW – 350 kW → ~80% charge in ~15–25 minutes (on supported vehicles).
- Next-gen (some pilot stations): up to 500 kW → potential 10-minute charges, though practical factors vary.
3. Technical Specifications: Then vs. Now
Below is a simplified table capturing average specifications of EV batteries from the mid-2010s compared with recent models (2022–2025). Note that actual values can vary by model and manufacturer.
Specification | ~2015 | ~2025 (Latest Tech) |
Energy Density | ~150 Wh/kg (NMC) | 200–300 Wh/kg (high-Ni / LFP) |
Cycle Life | ~1,000 cycles to 80% capacity | 1,500–2,500 cycles (some >3,000) |
Fast-Charge Power | ~50 kW typical | 150–350 kW, pilot stations >500 kW |
Cost per kWh | $400–$500/kWh (approx.) | $100–$150/kWh (leading edge) |
Nominal Range | 120–150 mi (200–240 km) | 250–350 mi (400–560 km), top-end >400 mi (640+ km) |
4. Adoption Trends
Global EV adoption has accelerated significantly in recent years:
- 2015–2017: Early-adopters phase; total global EV fleet <2 million.
- 2018–2020: Technology improvements + policy incentives spur growth; total EV stock surpasses 7 million (IEA).
- 2021–2022: Rapid jump to 16+ million EVs on the road (IEA). EVs reached 9–10% of new car sales globally in 2021.
- 2023–2025 Forecasts: Higher adoption as battery costs drop, range anxiety diminishes, and fast-charging infrastructure improves. Some estimates project 25–30% of new sales in major markets (e.g., Europe, China) by 2025.
Government policies (purchase subsidies, zero-emission vehicle mandates, CO₂ regulations) and corporate fleet electrification commitments also play a substantial role in accelerating adoption.
5. Visual Comparisons
Below are Python code snippets you can run locally to generate illustrative charts. These charts give a rough idea of improvements over time: (1) average EV range, (2) average fast-charge power rating, and (3) global EV adoption rates as a percentage of annual new car sales.
Note:
The numeric data in these code blocks are broad approximations for demonstration.
For more precision, you can replace the dummy arrays with official data from sources like the IEA, BloombergNEF, ACEA, or US DOE.
5.1 Average EV Range Over Time
Python
1
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
2
3
years = [2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025]
4
# Hypothetical average range values (miles)
5
avg_range = [130, 145, 155, 180, 200, 220, 240, 260, 280, 300, 320]
6
7
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 4))
8
plt.plot(years, avg_range, marker='o')
9
plt.title("Average Electric Vehicle Range Over Time")
10
plt.xlabel("Year")
11
plt.ylabel("Range (miles)")
12
plt.grid(True)
13
plt.show()
5.2 Fast-Charge Power Levels
Python
1
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
2
3
years = [2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025]
4
fast_charge_power = [50, 50, 75, 100, 100, 150, 150, 150, 200, 250, 350]
5
6
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 4))
7
plt.bar(years, fast_charge_power)
8
plt.title("Typical Fast-Charge Power Levels")
9
plt.xlabel("Year")
10
plt.ylabel("Fast-Charge Power (kW)")
11
plt.show()
5.3 EV Adoption as Percentage of Annual Car Sales
Python
1
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
2
3
years = [2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025]
4
adoption_rate = [0.5, 0.8, 1.2, 2.0, 2.5, 3.5, 9.0, 13.0, 17.0, 22.0, 27.0] # Example progression in %
5
6
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 4))
7
plt.plot(years, adoption_rate, marker='s')
8
plt.title("Global EV Adoption (Percentage of Annual New Car Sales)")
9
plt.xlabel("Year")
10
plt.ylabel("Adoption Rate (%)")
11
plt.grid(True)
12
plt.show()
Overall Summary
- Higher Energy Density → Longer Range. Nickel-rich chemistries and emerging silicon anodes have pushed mainstream EV range well beyond 250 miles, with some top-tier models exceeding 400 miles.
- Faster Charging → Greater Convenience. Advances in cell design and thermal management have enabled fast-charge rates of 150 kW to 350 kW (and pilot stations up to 500 kW). This reduces average charging times significantly.
- Reduced Battery Cost → Growing Adoption. Battery costs have fallen from hundreds of dollars per kWh to near $100–$150/kWh, making EVs more cost-competitive and contributing to exponential market growth.
- Policy & Market Synergy. Beyond technological breakthroughs, government incentives and consumer awareness have been major drivers in the rise from <1% to nearly 10% of new car sales in some major markets.
- Ongoing Research. Solid-state batteries and further improvements in lithium-metal and silicon-anode technologies promise another wave of enhancements in energy density, charging speed, and safety.
Key Takeaway: Thanks to more advanced chemistry (NMC 811, improved LFP, partial silicon anodes) and better manufacturing (e.g., tab-less cells, improved thermal management), EVs today offer significantly longer ranges and faster charging compared to those from just a few years ago. These improvements, coupled with declining battery costs, have accelerated EV adoption globally. Further breakthroughs (especially solid-state batteries) are likely to continue this upward trajectory in coming years.
OpenAI o3 delivers a comprehensive, accurate, and insightful analysis of how recent battery technology breakthroughs are extending EV range, speeding up charging, and driving adoption, all backed by scientific studies and industry data. o1, while credible and on-topic, is less detailed and forward-looking, with minor inaccuracies or oversimplifications.
OpenAI o3
How did the new pitch-clock rule in the 2023 season affect pitcher performance and game durations compared to previous seasons? Can you find relevant statistics, visualize the changes, and explain key trends? Include the latest season, too.Reasoned for 17 seconds
4 searches · 9 sources
Searched the web
MLB average game time 2023 pitch clock compared 2022 2021
MLB pitch clock impact pitcher performance ERA 2023
average MLB game time 2024 season to date
ESPN.com
M-SABR
6 more
- The user wants to know how the 2023 MLB pitch clock rule has affected pitcher performance and game durations, especially compared to earlier seasons. I’ll gather the latest stats, including game lengths and performance metrics like ERA, WHIP, and strikeouts. I’ll also look at data for 2024 and 2022 for comparison. Bar charts showing trends over these years will help visualize how the pitch clock has impacted the game. I’ll focus on accuracy and clarity for key trends to share with the user.
- I need to gather baseball stats, specifically focusing on average game times and pitcher performance metrics (ERA, WHIP, strikeouts per 9, walks per 9) for 2021-2024. I’ll confirm game durations from Baseball-Reference, where I found averages: 2021 (3:10), 2022 (3:03), 2023 (2:40), and 2024 (2:38). I’ll also look at year-by-year ERA stats for pitchers and any additional performance metrics from the same data source to evaluate how the pitch clock affected the game.
Searched the web
Baseball Reference
Searched the web
Major league ERA 2023 2022 2024 league average
Baseball Reference
Analyzed
Python
1
eras = {"2021":4.26,"2022":3.96,"2023":4.33,"2024":4.07}
2
so9 = {"2021":8.9,"2022":8.5,"2023":8.7,"2024":8.6}
3
bb9 = {"2021":3.3,"2022":3.1,"2023":3.3,"2024":3.1}
4
time = {"2021":190, #3:10 in minutes
5
"2022":183, #3:03
6
"2023":159, #2:39
7
"2024":156} #2:36
8
print(time)
{‘2021’: 190, ‘2022’: 183, ‘2023’: 159, ‘2024’: 156}
Done


What changed once the pitch‑timer arrived?
Season | Pitch‑clock rule | Avg. 9‑inning game | Δ vs. prior yr. | League ERA | BB/9 | SO/9 |
2021 | None – no clock | 3 h 10 m | — | 4.26 | 3.3 | 8.9 |
2022 | No clock (PitchCom only) | 3 h 03 m | ‑7 m | 3.96 | 3.1 | 8.5 |
2023 | 15 s bases empty / 20 s on | 2 h 39 m | ‑24 m | 4.33 | 3.3 | 8.7 |
2024* | 15 s empty / 18 s on | 2 h 36 m | ‑3 m | 4.07 | 3.1 | 8.6 |
*through the end of the 2024 regular season. Game‑length and pitching averages are from Baseball‑Reference’s league year‑by‑year tables.
Rule‑timer details: MLB Glossary (2023) and the 2024 tweak reducing the runner‑on timer to 18 s.
Opening‑year news report of the 24‑minute time drop: Associated Press/ESPN, Oct 2 2023.
1. Pace‑of‑play: clocks did exactly what they were built for
- Steepest one‑year drop in league history. Average games shrank by 24 minutes the instant the clock arrived (2023 vs. 2022), the first time since 2011 that a typical nine‑inning game finished under three hours.
- Second‑year fine‑tuning. MLB trimmed two more seconds with runners aboard in 2024; game length fell a further three minutes to 2 h 36 m – the shortest since 1981.
2. How did pitchers adjust?
Key indicator | Pre‑clock trend | 2023 shock | 2024 settling‑in |
ERA | drifting down (3.96 in ’22) | ↑ to 4.33— hitters benefitted | back down to4.07 |
Walks/9 | 3.1 → | 3.3(extra rush showed in command) | returns to 3.1 |
Strikeouts/9 | 8.5 → | 8.7(no real drop‑off) | holds at 8.6 |
Interpretation
- Early control wobble. The sudden pace forced some pitchers—especially deliberate tempo starters—to hurry. Walk rate and ERA jumped while stuff (K/9) held firm, hinting the issue was command, not velocity.
- Adaptation by Year 2. A full offseason to train with the clock plus the small 18‑second runner‑on tweak let pitchers regain footing: walks receded and ERA dropped 0.26.
- No evidence of arm fatigue spike. IP/starter, injury rates, and strikeout power stayed essentially flat, countering fears that reduced rest between pitches would sap velocity or health.
- Game flow benefits everyone. Players report liking the crisper rhythm; fans get 30‑40 extra minutes of evening back; TV windows fit modern attention spans.
3. Big‑picture trends & what to watch in 2025
Question | Early signal |
Will hitters’ running game keep booming? | The clock (plus bigger bases) cut pick‑off attempts; stolen bases per team jumped from 0.67 (’22) to 0.77 (’23) and held at 0.79 (’24). |
Can clubs exploit fatigue late in counts? | Some teams are nudging hitters to step in quickly, denying pitchers micro‑rests. Monitor bullpen ERA under the tighter 18‑second limit. |
Umpire enforcement consistency? | Violation totals tumbled from April ’23 to September ’24 as behavior normalized. If violations stay low, MLB may freeze the rules here. |
Bottom line:
The pitch clock achieved its objective immediately—games are half an hour faster—with pitchers showing an initial bump in ERA and walks but rebounding in the second year as they adjusted to the new tempo. Expect incremental tinkering rather than wholesale changes going forward; the sport appears to have found its sweet‑spot pace.
OpenAI o1
How did the new pitch-clock rule in the 2023 season affect pitcher performance and game durations compared to previous seasons? Can you find relevant statistics, visualize the changes, and explain key trends? Include the latest season, too.Reasoned for 7 seconds
I’m figuring out how the MLB pitch clock rules from 2023 changed pitcher performance and game duration. It seems from research and hypothetical data, but recent seasons are still in the early stages.
I’m compiling data on game times and pitcher stats, crafting a synthetic dataset and charts to compare annual trends, particularly focusing on 2023.
Focusing on 2023, I’m charting the pitch clock’s impact, noting a 25-minute shorter average game time, stable strikeouts, rising offense, and increased stolen bases.
I’m piecing together charts with approximate data on average game length and ERA/trikeout rates for 2023. Using matplotlib, I’ll create a line chart for game length and a bar chart for pitching metrics.
In 2023, average game durations dropped while the league’s ERA or strikeout rate saw slight shifts. I’m focusing on these trends, noting stolen base attempts could vary.
Below is a summary of how the new pitch-clock rule introduced in MLB for the 2023 season affected game durations and pitcher performance, along with sample data and visualizations to illustrate the trends. Because we do not have live access to external sources in this environment, the numeric examples below are approximate—drawn from publicly reported league-wide averages. However, the overall direction and magnitude of the changes reflect real-life reports from MLB and sports media.
1. Key Observed Effects of the Pitch Clock
Shorter Game Times
- MLB’s average game time dropped significantly in 2023 (by about 20–25 minutes compared to 2022).
- Previously, game lengths routinely exceeded three hours; in 2023, the league average settled closer to around 2 hours 35–40 minutes.
Pitcher Tempo and Performance
- Many pitchers had to quicken their pace, which may contribute to increased fatigue later in games (particularly early in the season as they adjust).
- Overall league-wide stats like ERA and WHIP did not drastically change, though there was some anecdotal evidence that pitchers who rely on a slower tempo were more adversely affected.
- Strikeout and walk rates did not spike or crater drastically but stayed in the same ballpark as recent seasons.
Stolen Bases and Offensive Impact
- Not the primary focus of your question, but it’s worth noting that along with the pitch clock, new pickoff rules led to a notable increase in stolen-base attempts and successes. This can indirectly affect pitcher performance in high-leverage situations.
Looking Toward the Latest Season
- As of early 2024 (the latest MLB season), the pitch clock remains in place with minimal rule modifications. Early indications show that games continue to be shorter, and both pitchers and hitters have largely adjusted to the new tempo. Full-season data for 2024 is not yet available, but all signs suggest the reduced game times are persisting.
2. Example Data
Below is some approximate aggregated data comparing league-wide metrics from 2019 to 2023. Note that the 2020 season (shortened due to COVID-19) is often treated as an outlier, so it is omitted here for clarity. The data includes:
- Season
- Avg Game Time (minutes): Approximate league-wide average game length in minutes
- League ERA: Approximate average ERA across MLB
- Strikeout % (K%): Approximate rate of strikeouts per plate appearance
- Walk % (BB%): Approximate rate of walks per plate appearance
Python
1
data = {
2
"Season": [2019, 2021, 2022, 2023],
3
"Avg_Game_Time_minutes": [185, 189, 183, 158], # Example approximate values
4
"League_ERA": [4.51, 4.26, 3.97, 4.20], # Example approximate values
5
"K%": [22.3, 23.2, 22.4, 22.6], # Example approximate values
6
"BB%": [8.5, 8.4, 8.2, 8.3], # Example approximate values
7
}
Below, we will load this data into a pandas DataFrame and generate a couple of simple charts: one for average game times by year and one for league-wide ERA by year. (The specific numerical values are illustrative.)
Python
1
import pandas as pd
2
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
3
4
# Construct the DataFrame
5
df = pd.DataFrame(data)
6
7
# Display the DataFrame to show the underlying table
8
df
You might see something like:
Season | Avg_Game_Time_minutes | League_ERA | K% | BB% |
2019 | 185 | 4.51 | 22.3 | 8.5 |
2021 | 189 | 4.26 | 23.2 | 8.4 |
2022 | 183 | 3.97 | 22.4 | 8.2 |
2023 | 158 | 4.20 | 22.6 | 8.3 |
3. Visualizing Game Time Trends
Below is an example of a line chart displaying how average game times (in minutes) changed between 2019 and 2023, showing the notable drop in 2023 with the pitch clock.
Python
1
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 4))
2
plt.plot(df['Season'], df['Avg_Game_Time_minutes'], marker='o')
3
plt.title('Average MLB Game Time by Season')
4
plt.xlabel('Season')
5
plt.ylabel('Game Time (minutes)')
6
plt.grid(True)
7
plt.show()
Key Takeaways
- The 2023 season shows a pronounced drop in average game time (from around 3 hours to around 2 hours 38 minutes or so).
- This aligns with widely reported data that game lengths were reduced by 20+ minutes.
4. Visualizing Pitcher Performance (ERA)
Next is a bar chart that compares league-wide ERA across the seasons:
Python
1
plt.figure(figsize=(6, 4))
2
plt.bar(df['Season'], df['League_ERA'])
3
plt.title('League-wide ERA by Season')
4
plt.xlabel('Season')
5
plt.ylabel('ERA')
6
plt.show()
Key Takeaways
- From this example data, the 2023 league ERA ticked up slightly compared to 2022.
- The difference is not huge, which suggests that while the pitch clock changed pace of play, it did not drastically transform run prevention or inflate offense league-wide.
- Other rules (like shifts limitations and bigger bases) also factored into 2023’s offensive environment.
5. Discussion of Key Trends
Shorter Games: The most obvious and direct effect of the pitch clock has been a reduction in dead time, leading to shorter games. This is beneficial for fans who prefer faster, more action-packed contests.
Adjustment Period for Pitchers:
- Some pitchers who liked to take longer between pitches reported a steeper learning curve and occasional pitch-clock violations.
- Pitchers generally adjusted over time, with fewer clock violations as the season progressed.
Little Change in Core Pitching Metrics:
- Strikeout, walk, and ERA figures did not swing dramatically.
- League-wide data indicates that any major changes in offensive outcomes are more closely tied to the simultaneous rule changes (like shift limitations and base size changes) rather than just the pitch clock.
Continued Impact Into the Latest Season:
- Entering the 2024 season, the pitch clock remains in effect, and preliminary data suggests that shorter game times are here to stay.
- Pitchers and hitters alike appear more comfortable with the new pace.
6. Conclusion
- Game Duration: The pitch clock rule effectively trimmed around 20+ minutes from the average MLB game, making it one of the most significant game-time reductions in recent history.
- Pitcher Performance: Although pitcher tempo changed, league-wide ERA and strikeout/walk rates remained relatively stable. Individual pitchers with slower routines may have been more affected, but overall, the rule did not lead to a major league-wide upheaval in pitching performance.
- Overall Fan Experience: The consensus from fans and many players is that a faster pace makes for more engaging games, and early feedback from the 2024 season suggests the shorter game times have continued.
These charts and statistics give a high-level overview of how the 2023 pitch-clock rule affected MLB pitchers and game durations, with continuing influence as the league heads into and through the latest season.
OpenAI o3’s access to the web allows it to factor in the most recent season and the normalization of the league’s ERA after the slight bump in 2022-23. o1 also gives approximate figures which are slightly off vs exact ones, and also incorrectly attributes stolen bases solely to the pitch clock without mentioning the enlargement of base pads and pickoff limits that more directly led to those changes.
OpenAI o3

It’s 12, I’ve already seen #4, output a planning that will make sure I see all attractions and shows, taking into account their duration (1st column) and a 10 minute buffer between each show.Reasoned about attraction scheduling for 2m 49s
Analyzed image
Analyzed image
- I have an image of a schedule (likely from Puy du Fou España) for April 4th, 2025. It lists shows numbered 1-11, and I already saw show #4, «Cetrería de Reyes» (Falconry), so I need to plan the rest. The time is currently 12:00, and I need to include all remaining shows, adding a 10-minute buffer between each one. I’ll check the durations carefully and note immersive or continuous shows like #3 and #7. I need to zoom in on the table to get a closer look.
Analyzed image
- I have a schedule for April 4th, 2025, from Puy du Fou España. The time is currently 12:00, and I’ve already seen show #4, «Cetrería de Reyes» (Falconry). I need to plan the rest, ensuring I include all the shows except #4. I also need to consider their durations and a 10-minute buffer between each show. I’ll take a closer look at the table, as some shows are immersive and continuous, and the times aren’t clearly visible. It’s probably best to zoom in and manually annotate the schedule.
Analyzed image
Analyzed image
- I need to zoom in on the bottom-right part of the schedule to see the big show times for Toledo, but the times aren’t clear due to the image quality. I’ll try zooming into the left side, where I can see durations in the next column—maybe 30’, 25’, and so forth. It looks like I need to crop the area showing these durations for a closer look.
Analyzed image
- I need to zoom into the bottom-right for the big show times of Toledo. The times aren’t clear due to image quality, so I’ll try zooming into the left side instead. Now, I can see the durations in the next column, like 30′, 25′, and so on. Here’s the breakdown of durations:
- 30’
- 30’
- 25’
- 30’
- 25’
- 25’
- 40’
- 15’
- 25’
- 90’
- 75’
- Now I’ll crop horizontally to focus on the times area for transcription.
Analyzed image
- Row 3 (Allende la Mar Océana) might be an immersive show, running continuously from 12:30 to 19:00. For row 4, we already saw it earlier at 11:45, and possibly around 14:30 and 16:45. I need to double-check the order of the rows to ensure everything matches. It seems like I need to annotate the rows with their corresponding times based on the image. I’ll enlarge the image and carefully annotate the row lines’ positions to clarify.
- I’m trying to zoom in on the bottom-right of the schedule, but the times aren’t clear due to image quality. Zooming into the left side now helps to see the durations, like 30’, 25’, etc. Here are the durations:
- 30’
- 30’
- 25’
- 30’
- 25’
- 25’
- 40’
- 15’
- 25’
- 90’
- 75’
- Now I’m matching the times to the rows. For Row 1 («El Último Cantar»), I see performances at 12:45, 16:15, and 19:15. Row 2 («A Pluma y Espada») shows 14:15, 16:00, and 18:15.
Analyzed image
- I’m working on mapping the show times based on the image. For Row 1, the durations at the top are 30′, with shows at 12:45, 16:15, and 19:15. Row 2 shows durations of 30′ too, with times at 14:15, 16:00, and 18:15. Row 3 has an immersive show from 12:30 to 19:00 (continuous). Row 4 runs for 30′ with times at 11:45, 14:30, and 16:45 — I think we’ve seen this earlier. Now I’m ensuring the mapping is correct and examining vertical grid lines for clarity.
- For the third row, I think the times span from 12:30 to 19:00 continually. The fourth row, with a 30-minute duration, seems to list 11:45, 14:30, and 16:45. The fifth row, with a 25-minute duration, could show 13:15 and 17:45. The sixth row, also 25 minutes, may start at 12:30. I need to zoom more horizontally to double-check the time placement and count the rows properly to confirm everything is correctly aligned.
Analyzed image
- Alright, I’ve created the following mapping for shows based on the rows.
- El Último Cantar – 30 minutes: times 12:45, 16:15, 19:15
- A Pluma y Espada – 30 minutes: times 14:15, 16:00, 18:15
- Allende la Mar Océana – 25 minutes (immersive, continuous): from 12:30 to 19:00
- Cetrería de Reyes – 30 minutes: times 11:45, 14:30, 16:45 (already seen, so skip)
- El Misterio de Sorbaces – 25 minutes: times 13:15, 17:45?
- Okay, let’s manually go through the grid and mark the times:
- Row 1 (El Último Cantar): 12:45, 16:15, 19:15
- Row 2 (A Pluma y Espada): 14:15, 16:00, 18:15
- Row 3 (Allende): 12:30–19:00 (immersive)
- Row 4 (Cetrería): 11:45, 14:30, 16:45
- Row 5 (El Misterio de Sorbaces): 13:15, 17:45
- Row 6 (El Tambor de la Libertad): 12:30 (seems to have duplicates?)
- Row 7 (De Tal Palo): 12:00–15:30 and 17:00–19:00 (immersive)
- Row 8 (Desmayarse): 13:30, 15:15
- Row 9 (El Espadero de Vivar): 15:15, 18:00
- Row 10 (Concierto del Arrabal): Times not listed—likely 19:30–21:00
- Row 11 (Sueño de Toledo): 21:30 (closing show)
- Now, let’s check again for duplicates.
Analyzed image
- Okay, to clear things up: Row 5 shows 25-minute duration, with times 13:15 and 17:45. Row 6, labeled El Tambor de la Libertad, has times 12:30 and 19:30. Row 7, De Tal Palo, is immersive from 12:00 to 15:30 and then again from 17:00 to 19:00. I’ll fully label and double-check:
- El Último Cantar – 30’
- A Pluma y Espada – 30’
- Allende la Mar Océana – 25’
- Cetrería de Reyes – 30’
- El Misterio de Sorbaces – 25’
- El Tambor de la Libertad – 25’
- De Tal Palo – 40’
- Desmayarse – 15’
- El Espadero de Vivar – 25’
- El Concierto del Arrabal – 90’
- El Sueño de Toledo – 75’
Now, I’ll make sure the times match each show accurately, especially for Row 6 and Row 9.
- Row 10 (Concierto del Arrabal, 90′) probably runs from 19:30 to 21:00. Row 11 (Sueño de Toledo, 75′) seems to be the closing show at 21:30.
- Looking at row 7 (De Tal Palo): times are 12:00–15:30 and 17:00–19:00.
- For row 8 (Desmayarse), I see times at 13:30 and 15:15. Row 9 (Espadero) runs from 15:
Analyzed image
- I’ve noticed a few shows that are coming up:
- El Tambor de la Libertad at 12:30 (25 min).
- Allende la Mar Océana has an immersive window starting from 12:30 onward.
- De Tal Palo is immersive from 12:00 to 15:30, but it’s 40 minutes, a continuous walkthrough. I can either join now or postpone since it’s flexible.
- El Último Cantar at 12:45.
- I could go with anything, but I’m leaning towards De Tal Palo for the interactivity!
- Looking at show times, the earliest option is:
- El Tambor de la Libertad at 12:30 (25 minutes).
- Allende la Mar Océana start time is 12:30 onward (immersive).
- De Tal Palo from 12:00 to 15:30 (interactive, 40 minutes). I could join now, but might postpone.
- El Último Cantar at 12:45.
- I’ll need to schedule carefully to fit everything by the day’s end, aiming for Sueño de Toledo‘s last show at 21:30. There’s a 10-minute buffer between each show to consider.
- I’m planning the shows, but it’s a bit tricky with overlaps. Here’s the latest attempt:
- 12:30-12:55: El Tambor de la Libertad.
- 12:55-13:05: Buffer.
- 13:15-13:40: El Misterio de Sorbaces.
- 13:40-13:50: Buffer.
- 14:15-14:45: A Pluma y Espada.
- 14:45-14:55: Buffer.
- 15:15-15:30: Desmayarse.
- Then, I plan to catch El Último Cantar at 16:15, with some breaks in between.
- It’s tight but I think it’s manageable! I’ll keep adjusting as needed to fit everything in.
Done
Full itinerary from 12 :00 onward
(Cetrería de Reyes – #4 – already done, so it’s skipped. Each gap below already includes the required 10‑minute “travel / queue” buffer.)
Time | Show (#) | Duration | What to do next |
12:30-12:55 | El Tambor de la Libertad (#6) | 25 min | Walk to next venue |
13:15-13:40 | El Misterio de Sorbaces (#5) | 25 min | Quick break / head to next arena |
14:15-14:45 | A Pluma y Espada (#2) | 30 min | Snack / toilets on the way |
15:15-15:30 | Desmayarse (#8) | 15 min | Straight to the docks area |
15:40-16:05 | Allende la Mar Océana (#3)immersive walk‑through | 25 min | Leave exhibition and cross the main square |
16:15-16:45 | El Último Cantar (#1) | 30 min | Head to medieval village |
17:00-17:40 | De Tal Palo (#7)immersive route | 40 min | Stroll toward smithy stage |
18:00-18:25 | El Espadero de Vivar (#9) | 25 min | Dinner / rest break |
19:30-21:00 | El Concierto del Arrabal (#10) | 90 min | Make your way to the grand lake stands |
21:30-22:45 | El Sueño de Toledo (#11) | 75 min | Night‑time finale – you’re done! |
Why this order works
- No overlaps & ≥10 min buffer – every change of venue has at least the requested ten‑minute window.
- Front‑loads the daytime “arena” shows so you can enjoy the two walk‑through experiences (#3 & #7) in the quieter mid‑afternoon slots.
- Built‑in meal break from 18 :25 to 19 :30 right next to the Arrabal concert seating, which usually opens ~30 min early.
- Ends with the two big evening spectaculars, giving you the classic Puy du Fou crescendo.
Tips
- Large‑capacity evening shows (#10 & #11) fill up fast – try to be at the gates 15‑20 min before the times above if you want centred seats.
- The immersive routes (#3 & #7) don’t require bleachers; you can step straight in at the times listed.
- Keep an eye on the park app for any last‑minute schedule tweaks.
Have an epic afternoon and evening – you’ll tick off every attraction on the list!
OpenAI o1

It’s 12, I’ve already seen #4, output a planning that will make sure I see all attractions and shows, taking into account their duration (1st column) and a 10 minute buffer between each show.
Reasoned about attraction planning and scheduling for 51 seconds
Below is one way to fit all the shows (plus Concert and Sueño) into the remainder of the day, starting at 12:00 and leaving a 10‐minute gap before each next show. We assume the walk‐through or continuous‐time shows (#6 and #8) can be started at whatever moment suits us within their posted windows.
Already seen: #4 “Cetrería de Reyes”
Current time: 12:00
1. 12:00-12:25
- #6 “El Tambor de la Libertad” (25 min)
- Ends at 12:25
2. 12:25-12:35
- Buffer (10 min)
3. 12:35-13:15
- #8 “Desmayarse” (40 min)
- Ends at 13:15
4. 13:15-13:25
- Buffer (10 min)
5. 13:30-13:55
- #9 “El Espadero de Vivar” (25 min)
- Ends at 13:55
6. 13:55-14:05
- Buffer (10 min)
7. 14:15-14:45
- #2 “A pluma y espada” (30 min)
- Ends at 14:45
8. 14:45-14:55
- Buffer (10 min)
9. 14:55-15:20
- #3 “Allende la Mar Oceana” (25 min)
- Ends at 15:20
10. 15:20-15:30
- Buffer (10 min)
11. 15:30-15:55
- #5 “El Misterio de Sorbaces” (25 min)
- Ends at 15:55
12. 15:55-16:05
- Buffer (10 min)
13. 16:15-16:45
- #1 “El Último Cantar” (30 min)
- Ends at 16:45
14. 16:45-16:55
- Buffer (10 min)
15. 16:55-18:00
- Free gap (1 hr 5 min)
- Use this time to explore the park, grab something to eat, etc.
16. 18:00-18:45
- #7 “De Tal Palo” (45 min)
- Ends at 18:45
17. 18:45-18:55
- Buffer (10 min)
18. 19:30-21:00
- “El Concierto del Arrabal” (90 min)
- Ends at 21:00
19. 21:00-21:10
- Buffer (10 min)
20. 21:30-22:45
- “El Sueño de Toledo” (75 min)
- Ends at 22:45
This schedule gets you to every show (#1 – #9), plus the Concert and El Sueño without clashes or rushing, and respects a 10‐minute buffer before each performance. Enjoy your day!
OpenAI o3 factors in the schedule accurately and outputs a usable plan while o1 has inaccuracies, getting certain show times wrong.
Avanzando en el razonamiento coste-eficiente
Costo vs. rendimiento: o3-mini y o4-mini


Costo vs. rendimiento: o1 y o3


OpenAI o3 y o4-mini son los modelos más inteligentes que hemos lanzado hasta la fecha y, además, suelen ser más eficientes que sus predecesores, OpenAI o1 y o3-mini. Por ejemplo, en la competición matemática AIME de 2025, la frontera coste-rendimiento de o3 mejora estrictamente con respecto a o1, y, de forma similar, la frontera de o4-mini mejora estrictamente con respecto a o3-mini. En términos generales, esperamos que, para la mayoría de las aplicaciones reales, o3 y o4-mini también sean más inteligentes y económicos que o1 y o3-mini, respectivamente.
Seguridad
Cada mejora en las capacidades del modelo garantiza mejoras proporcionales en la seguridad. Para OpenAI o3 y o4-mini, reconstruimos por completo nuestros datos de entrenamiento de seguridad, añadiendo nuevos avisos de rechazo en áreas como amenazas biológicas (bioriesgo), generación de malware y jailbreaks. Estos datos actualizados han llevado a o3 y o4-mini a lograr un sólido rendimiento en nuestros puntos de referencia internos de rechazo (p. ej., jerarquía de instrucciones , jailbreaks). Además del sólido rendimiento para los rechazos del modelo, también hemos desarrollado mitigaciones a nivel de sistema para marcar avisos peligrosos en áreas de riesgo fronterizo. De forma similar a nuestro trabajo anterior en generación de imágenes , entrenamos un monitor LLM de razonamiento que funciona a partir de especificaciones de seguridad escritas e interpretables por humanos. Cuando se aplicó al bioriesgo, este monitor marcó con éxito ~99% de las conversaciones en nuestra campaña de equipo rojo humano.
Sometimos a pruebas de estrés ambos modelos con nuestro programa de seguridad más riguroso hasta la fecha. De acuerdo con nuestro Marco de Preparación actualizado , evaluamos o3 y o4-mini en las tres áreas de capacidad que abarca el Marco: biológica y química, ciberseguridad y autosuperación de la IA. Con base en los resultados de estas evaluaciones, determinamos que tanto o3 como o4-mini se mantienen por debajo del umbral «Alto» del Marco en las tres categorías. Hemos publicado los resultados detallados de estas evaluaciones en la ficha del sistema adjunta .
Codex CLI: razonamiento fronterizo en la terminal
También compartimos un nuevo experimento: Codex CLI, un agente de codificación ligero que puedes ejecutar desde tu terminal. Funciona directamente en tu ordenador y está diseñado para maximizar las capacidades de razonamiento de modelos como o3 y o4-mini, con compatibilidad próxima con modelos de API adicionales como GPT ‑4.1 .
Puedes aprovechar las ventajas del razonamiento multimodal desde la línea de comandos pasando capturas de pantalla o bocetos de baja fidelidad al modelo, junto con el acceso a tu código local. Lo consideramos una interfaz mínima para conectar nuestros modelos con los usuarios y sus ordenadores. Codex CLI es completamente de código abierto en github.com/openai/codex .(se abre en una nueva ventana)hoy.
Además, estamos lanzando una iniciativa de un millón de dólares para apoyar proyectos que utilicen modelos Codex CLI y OpenAI. Evaluaremos y aceptaremos solicitudes de subvenciones en incrementos de 25.000 dólares estadounidenses en forma de créditos API. Las propuestas pueden enviarse aquí .
Acceso
Los usuarios de ChatGPT Plus, Pro y Team verán o3, o4-mini y o4-mini-high en el selector de modelos a partir de hoy, reemplazando a o1, o3-mini y o3-mini-high. Los usuarios de ChatGPT Enterprise y Edu tendrán acceso en una semana. Los usuarios gratuitos pueden probar o4-mini seleccionando «Pensar» en el editor antes de enviar su consulta. Los límites de velocidad en todos los planes se mantienen sin cambios respecto al conjunto de modelos anterior.
Esperamos lanzar OpenAI o3-pro en unas semanas con soporte completo para la herramienta. Por ahora, los usuarios de la versión Pro aún pueden acceder a o1-pro.
Tanto o3 como o4-mini también están disponibles para los desarrolladores hoy a través de la API de finalizaciones de chat y la API de respuestas (algunos desarrolladores necesitarán verificar sus organizaciones ).(se abre en una nueva ventana)Para acceder a estos modelos, la API de Respuestas admite resúmenes de razonamiento, la capacidad de conservar tokens de razonamiento en torno a llamadas de función para un mejor rendimiento y pronto admitirá herramientas integradas como búsqueda web, búsqueda de archivos e intérprete de código dentro del razonamiento del modelo. Para comenzar, explora nuestra documentación .(se abre en una nueva ventana)y permanezca atento para más actualizaciones .
¿Qué sigue?
Las actualizaciones de hoy reflejan la dirección que están tomando nuestros modelos: estamos integrando las capacidades de razonamiento especializado de la serie o con las habilidades conversacionales naturales y el uso de herramientas de la serie GPT. Al unificar estas fortalezas, nuestros futuros modelos facilitarán conversaciones fluidas y naturales, junto con el uso proactivo de herramientas y la resolución avanzada de problemas.
Actualización del 16 de abril: los resultados de o3 en Charxiv-r y Mathvista se actualizaron para reflejar un cambio en el aviso del sistema que no estaba presente en la evaluación original.
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